Prop Bets

PROP BETS - BASKETBALL — March 15

NCAA Tournament
MONTANA vs. WISCONSIN
(Prop bets- Line: Wisconsin -9, Total 118) — Wisconsin would love to play a very physical game here, and clearly Montana shoots its free throws well enough (71.7%) to convert if the opportunity arises where the referees call it tight. How much margin of error is there for the Badgers, who have averaged just 63 points this season? Mo0ntana’s on a 14-game winning streak, and though its should be noted that they have fallen short when asked to step up in class, we do wonder whether the Badgers, who are not as good a shooting team as we’ve seen from them in recent seasons (just 42%) can create a huge margin. It should be noted that guard Jordan Taylor, who takes more shots than anybody in the Badger lineup, is slightly less than 40% from the floor, and he is only an average three-point threat. This one could develop at a slow enough pace to keep Montana in it until the late possessions.

JAY’S PLAY: MONTANA +9 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

PROP BETS - BASKETBALL — February 18

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN
(Prop Bets - Line: Ohio St. -5.5, Total 124.5) — The Buckeyes did a great job in stifling the Michigan attack last time these teams faced, on January 19, as the Wolverines could do no better than 36% form the field. Of course, you can’t discount the fact that OSU has a big edge in muscle on the inside, and Jared Sullinger didn’t even get to flex all the way in the first meeting, with 13 points and five rebounds. OSU was severely slowed up last week, on its own home floor, against Michigan State, and it’s not outside the realm of possibility that the same thing could happen here, as the Maize and Blue has pulled off upsets a few times in An nArbor, beating Wisconsin, Michigan State and Indiana already. In fact, John Beilein’s team is undefeated at the Crisler Arena, so any wins by OSU in this situation will be well-earned, you can be assured.

PRO BETS PLAY: MICHIGAN +5.5 *

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

PROP BETS - BASKETBALL — February 12

HOUSTON at GOLDEN STATE
(Prop Bets Line: Warriors -1.5, Total 203.5) — There would appear to be plenty of evidence that Kevin McHale is taking the Rockets in the right direction. In what was expected to be purely a rebuilding season, Houston has established itself as a team that is in the playoff race, and they’ve rebounded from a couple of rough patches to win 13 of 17, including wins/covers in four of its last five games. A lot of this comes as a result of defense; Samuel Dalembert has provided a shot-swatting anchor in the middle, and this team has experienced more rebounding advantages than a lot of people expected, including one game against Washington where they pulled down 70 caroms. Golden State isn’t so fortunate along those lines, as the Warriors have allowed 100 or more points in five of the last six contests. Interestingly enough, these are the two teams that cut Jeremy Lin before the Knicks picked him up. Do you think they wish they hadn’t?

PROP BETS PLAY: HOUSTON +1.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

PROP BETS - PRO BASKETBALL — February 10

OKLAHOMA CITY at UTAH
(Line: Thunder -1.5, Total 202) — The scheduling advantage resides with the Jazz, which have had two nights off while the Thunder were playing - and losing - against the Sacramento Kings. But we imagine OKC will have some intensity left coming off that defeat, and Utah has lost four of its last five games. Of course, Salt lake City has been a difficult place for foes to play this season, and just recently the Jazz turned back the Lakers. Can they handle Russell Westbrook? And will the Thunder crumble under a mountain of turnovers? Well, with a 20-6 straight-up record, it obviously hasn’t happened all too often. And in answer to Utah’s burly guys on the front line (Al Jefferson, Paul Millsap), Serge Ibaka was a VERY scary presence in the paint for OKC last night, swatting away TEN shots for the second time in a period of six games.

JAY’S PLAY: OKLAHOMA CITY -1.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

PROP BETS - COLLEGE BASKETBALL — February 8

ARKANSAS at GEORGIA
(Prop Bets Line: Georgia -1.5, Total 134) — Look, we know that Arkansas has talent - almost without doubt more talent than Georgia has. But there has been a big problem for the Razorbacks, and that is the fact that they just can’t win away from home. In fact, as a visitor they are 0-7, and that makes it a perfect split, as they are undefeated on its own court through fifteen outings. This is a tough call, because of the fact that Georgia just does not shoot the ball well, and that goes for whether it’s overall from the field (38.8%) or from the arc (31.9%). However, the one thing you want to think about here is that Georgia has been a very good team with regard to taking care of the ball (only 10.6 turnovers a game, eighth-best in the country) and that bodes well for them when it comes to dealing with the “40 Minutes of Hell” that Arkansas coach Mike Anderson inherited from Nolan Richardson.

PROP BETS PLAY: GEORGIA +1.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

PRO FOOTBALL — November 20

SEATTLE at ST. LOUIS
(Prop Bets Line: Rams-3, Total 39.5) — Not that the Seahawks have really come alive, but Seattle has covered three straight road games, and for this team that has often been characterized as a “road worrier,” that is a good sign. We have said all along that this is a team with talent, and if Tarvaris Jackson (9 INT’s) can cut down on turnovers just a little bit, the ‘Hawks would be more dangerous.

Steven Jackson is the heart and soul of the St. Louis offense, and he has gained 417 yards over the last three games, but Seattle has done a job against opposition running attacks that has been more than credible (3.6 ypc allowed). by comparison, the Rams have been awful against the run (yielding 5.1 ypc). St. Louis is laying three points, but has scored more than 16 only once. There’s a lot of offensive line shuffling, and San Bradford has just four TD passes and 26 sacks,.

JAY’S PLAY: SEATTLE +3 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL — October 15

BYU at OREGON STATE
(Prop Bets Line: Oregon State -3, Total 51) — Riley Nelson has perked up the BYU offense after being named the starting quarterback. Last week he threw three touchdown passes, and he also showed some legs (65 yards on ground). The Cougars put a nice “running back-by-committee” thing together against San Jose State (159 yards without Nelson’s efforts). and they really did show some chops on the road with the one-point win over SEC entry Ole Miss and the one-point loss to Texas.

However, Bronco Mendenhall is surely pulling his hair out of his head over his team’s inability to get a pass rush going, and we’ve seen the ball in OSU QB Sean Mannion’s hands a lot more lately (try 147 passing attempts the last three weeks). Of course, one reason for that is that Mike Riley’s team can’t get any rushing game of its own going, and Mannion has put the ball into enemy hands six times in the last two games.

JAY’S PLAY: BYU +3 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL — September 24

FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON
(Line: Clemson -2.5, Total 50) — Both teams are coming off very big non-conference games, although the difference is that while FSU failed against Oklahoma, Clemson came back from a two-touchdown deficit to end Auburn’s 17-game winning streak. That was naturally treated as a big deal, so the question has to come up as to whether they can get themselves back to where they need to be emotionally. The Seminoles just don’t have the necessary ground component to win the ACC, and E.J. Manuel injured his shoulder, making prop bets difficult. Clint Trickett is more of a drop-back type, and he was 7-for-15 with an interception against the Sooners. Clemson is better off under center, as Tajh Boyd, a highly-touted recruit a couple of years ago, is looking the part, with 30-42 and four TD’s against Auburn last weekend. If they are going to be without their starting quarterback, FSU can’t afford to be one-dimensional.

JAY’S PLAY: CLEMSON -2.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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